Probability and Distribution Theory

This subject has the following teaching availabilities in 2016:

170 hours

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For the purposes of considering request for Reasonable Adjustments under the Disability Standards for Education (Cwth 2005), and Students Experiencing Academic Disadvantage Policy, academic requirements for this subject are articulated in the Subject Description, Subject Objectives, Generic Skills and Assessment Requirements of this entry.
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This subject begins with the study of probability, random variables, discrete and continuous distributions, and the use of calculus to obtain expressions for parameters of these distributions such as the mean and variance. Joint distributions for multiple random variables are introduced together with the important concepts of independence, correlation and covariance, and marginal and conditional distributions. Techniques for determining distributions of transformations of random variables are discussed. The concept of the sampling distribution and standard error of an estimator of a parameter is presented, together with key properties of estimators. Large sample results concerning the properties of estimators are presented with emphasis on the central role of the normal distribution in these results. General approaches to obtaining estimators of parameters are introduced. Numerical simulation and graphing with Stata are used throughout to demonstrate key concepts.

This subject will focus on applying the calculus-based techniques learned in POPH90015 Mathematical Background for Biostatistics (MBB). These two subjects, together with the subsequent POPH90017 Principles of Statistical Inference (PSI) unit, provide the core prerequisite mathematical statistics background required for the study of later units in the Postgraduate Diploma or Masters degree.

Two written assignments to be submitted mid semester and end of semester worth 35% each (approx 12 hours work each).

Four practical written exercises to be submitted during semester worth 7.5% each (approx 4 hrs work each).

Wackerly DD, Mendenhall W, Scheaffer RL. Mathematical Statistics with Applications, 7th Edition, 2008, Duxbury Press, USA. (ISBN 978-0-495-11081-1)

Special Computer Requirements: Stata Statistical Software

Resources Provided to Students: Printed course notes and assignment material by mail, email, and online interaction facilities.

This subject is not available as a breadth subject.

Independent problem solving, facility with abstract reasoning, clarity of written expression, sound communication of technical concepts.

This subject is not available in the Master of Public Health.